Only a mechanical mishap or uncharacteristic mistake will stop Marc Marquez from becoming the youngest ever MotoGP world champion at Phillip Island on Sunday, according to five-time title winner Mick Doohan.
The 20-year-old Spanish rookie only needs to finish eighth or better to clinch the 2013 crown at the Australian Grand Prix, provided Yamaha rival Jorge Lorenzo fairs worse.
Marquez holds a commanding 43-point series lead over countryman Lorenzo, whom he pipped for second place at last Sunday's Malaysian GP in Sepang.
If he outscores Lorenzo by seven points in Sunday's race, he will be become the first rider in 35 years to win the championship in his debut season in the top category.
"The championship is his to give up at the moment - although the likelihood of that is very, very remote," Doohan told AAP on Thursday.
"Marquez really needs to have some sort of mechanical problem or some other mishap for Lorenzo to have any chance going forward from here.
"Marquez has been very, very consistent. If he doesn't win, he's generally on the next step of the podium and he only really needs to be in the top three or four to win the championship this weekend.
"He knows he just needs to keep it together. The pressure is really to not do anything too crazy."
Doohan said he had been blown away by Marquez' performance this season - posting six wins and 14 podiums in just 15 races - but he also noted his dramatic rise owed something to Australian two-time world champion Casey Stoner's retirement.
"I've seen plenty come and go through the ranks and he's up there with the best of them, without a shadow of a doubt," said Doohan.
"But let's not lose sight of the fact what he's jumped on to. He's jumped on to the factory Honda machine which Casey Stoner was on.
"He's still got to perform but ... I think you would've seen a different Marquez had he gone into a tier-two team.
"He was pretty much given the magic carpet to ride, he just had to stay on the thing - and he did that superbly."
Doohan, victorious at Phillip Island in 1998, said Marquez would still have to fend off a very hungry Lorenzo, who has nothing to lose in trying to defend his title at the famed Victorian circuit.
"Without a doubt he (Lorenzo) is going to give it his all," he said.
"Whether or not that means taking extra risk - I don't think he needs to. That extra risk is probably more likely to turn into tragedy than victory.
"If he just keeps it together, remains focused on what he's trying to do and pushes as hard as he can to try to pressure Marquez into making some type of mistake, that's really the only option he has."
Embattled Newcrest Mining has given its investors some much-needed good news by beating its own expectations on quarterly gold production and costs.
However the positive numbers were offset by the news that Australia's largest gold producer had conceded ground to the tax office and will take a $120 million hit to resolve a dispute.
The 586,573 ounces of gold it produced in the three months to the end of September puts it on target to beat guidance of 2.0 million to 2.3 million ounces, with the miner also predicting a stronger fiscal second half.
The report follows a tumultuous two weeks in which proxy advisers criticised the company's failures to meet production targets for several years and advised against re-electing some directors at next week's AGM.
The events culminated in Newcrest announcing departure dates for chief executive Greg Robinson and chairman Don Mercer.
The gold production was 10 per cent above some analysts' expectations, nine per cent below the previous June quarter as forecast but 27 per cent above a year ago.
The overall cost of producing gold in the quarter of $A1,093 an ounce was below its 2013 financial year average of $1,283.
It sold the gold at an average $1,442 an ounce and said it could afford the price to be below the $1,450 floor it previously said it needed to break even due to cost and operational improvements.
Mr Robinson said all of the company's gold mines had performed better than expected during the quarter, excluding Hidden Valley in PNG where costs of $1,889 an ounce remained high.
Morningstar analyst Mathew Hodge said it had been a long time since Newcrest had delivered a good quarterly report and both cost cutting and production were positive.
He also praised it for securing a new $US450 million ($A472.47 million) debt facility for providing more liquidity headroom.
Newcrest said it would voluntarily amend some R&D claims made from 2009 to 2011 in relation to its tax office dispute related to 2005 to 2011.
Ian Smith was the company's chief executive at the time - which included the controversial $9.5 billion takeover of Lihir Gold - and was replaced by Greg Robinson in 2011.
The full year net tax impact will be $70 million, due to some tax losses and comes on top of its standard tax rate.
Newcrest's share price was four cents down at $10.16 at 1530 AEDT.
Peter Siddle will be the first beneficiary of Craig McDermott's return to the Test fold, with the fast bowling coach planning to lift Australia's pace leader back to his inspirational best.
Siddle was brilliant in the first Ashes Test at Nottingham but, from then on, he appeared to tire as the series went on, with Ryan Harris taking the reins as Australia's leading wicket-taker.
But newly appointed Test bowling coach McDermott says the attack will need to be firing on all cylinders if they're to steal the urn back from England this summer, and reinvigorating Siddle is one of the first items on his agenda.
After quitting his post as a national assistant in May last year, McDermott returns in a more specialised role as Test bowling coach, with incumbent Ali de Winter shifted across to oversee Australia's limited-overs bowlers.
McDermott has just over a month to work his magic before the first Test starts in Brisbane, with the 48-year-old's goal to get four-to-six quicks, including Siddle, hitting their peak at the same time.
"I would like to get him (Siddle) up just a little bit higher with his consistency," said McDermott.
"We've got to have four-to-six guys bowling well from a fast bowling point of view to bowl in conjunction with our spinners ... we've got to make sure they're all firing.
"I'd just like to talk to (Siddle) about a few things I've noticed over the last couple of months, and the same with a number of the other bowlers I've been watching on TV around the place."
Siddle took 17 wickets at 31.58 in the Ashes, the fifth best from either team for the series, and he's still ranked sixth in the world.
However, he took just one wicket in the final two Tests.
Siddle's rise to premier fast bowler a couple of years ago was heavily influenced by McDermott, and the former Australian tearaway is confident of once again making an impact.
McDermott has also been impressed with the transformation of Mitchell Johnson, and is eager to see how the left-arm quick adjusts to the red ball when he returns from Australia's one-day tour of India.
With fellow lefty Mitchell Starc, as well as James Pattinson, Pat Cummins and Jackson Bird all injured, Johnson has a big opportunity to re-establish himself in the Test team.
"He's changed his run up, he's well balanced ... he's getting through the crease and his arm is higher than what it used to be," McDermott said.
"He's bowling anywhere between 145 and 153km/h over the last couple of months ... and, if you're up around those figures and moving the ball a little bit either way, it's a handful and certainly his bouncer will be a handful as well.
"We've got some good young guys in behind the scenes, who have been on some tours of late in Josh Hazlewood and Nathan Coulter-Nile.
"Obviously there's Ben Hilfenhaus who is back in the fray, fully fit."
Cricket Australia will have a pool of eight quicks they use for the duration of the series, but McDermott said he won't be excluding other bowlers who show good form in Sheffield Shield cricket.
Coach Ewen McKenzie has challenged the Wallabies team to reproduce the sort of form that spanked Argentina against the All Blacks in Dunedin on Saturday.
Overcoming the world champions, unbeaten on their home turf in 29 Tests since mid-2009, sounds a near-impossible task for a Wallabies team that has won just three of nine Tests this year.
But McKenzie is having none of that.
"You've got to fancy your chances," McKenzie said on Thursday.
"Hopefully we've bottomed out and are now climbing."
McKenzie stressed the importance of backing up the vastly-improved performance the Wallabies gave in their 54-17 win over Argentina in Rosario two weeks ago - their highest-ever scoreline against the Pumas.
While they've already lost the Bledisloe Cup for an 11th straight year, the Wallabies will march out under the roof of Dunedin's Forsyth Barr Stadium on Saturday night wanting to prove they've closed the gap after being well beaten in the first two Cup games and also twice by South Africa.
"You need to back up, play consistently and find solutions to win every game, which has been a large focus for us heading into this match," McKenzie said.
McKenzie has promoted Matt Toomua from the bench to inside centre following an injury to his Brumbies teammate Christian Lealiifano.
Toomua started at five eighth in the first two Bledisloe defeats at the start of the Rugby Championship but will line up outside Quade Cooper, who has reclaimed that role since.
A big question will be whether they can maintain the free-flowing attack Cooper orchestrated in Rosario against stronger opposition in New Zealand - especially with the booing that will echo around the closed in stadium every time he touches the ball.
Having fellow five-eighth Toomua outside of him will ease some of that pressure.
"(Toomua's) got all the attributes to play (centre), and we've already made it quite clear that we're playing a first and second five-eighth arrangement," McKenzie said.
"He'll have a good chance to impose himself in the game in defence and attack."
Whilst known for his stout defence, Toomua admits he'll have his hands full against New Zealand centres Ma'a Nonu and Ben Smith.
"They are brilliant runners, and they also bring in (winger Julian) Savea to the attack," Toomua said.
NSW Waratahs flyer Betham, who was struggling just to earn a Super Rugby contract 12 months ago, will play his first Test following the unavailability of eight other specialist wingers.
NSW skipper Dave Dennis pipped fellow loose forward Liam Gill for the final forwards spot on the bench, while utility back Mike Harris has earned a recall to the bench.
The Test will also be Will Genia's 50th, just the third Wallabies scrumhalf to reach that milestone behind George Gregan and Nick Farr-Jones.
"It's obviously very humbling. But to be honest, I'm concentrating on more getting a result," Genia said.
Wallabies: Israel Folau, Adam Ashley-Cooper, Tevita Kuridrani, Matt Toomua, Peter Betham, Quade Cooper, Will Genia; Ben McCalman, Michael Hooper, Ben Mowen (vc), James Horwill (capt), Rob Simmons, Ben Alexander, Stephen Moore, James Slipper. Res: Saia Fainga'a, Benn Robinson, Sepoke Kepu, Sitaleki Timani, Dave Dennis, Nic White, Mike Harris, Bernard Foley.
Damien Oliver's Cox Plate hopes were dashed in the stewards room on Wednesday but his chances of Cups success this spring remain alive.
The top jockey is due to start a careless riding suspension after Saturday's Caulfield meeting which rules him out of the Cox Plate.
He was to have ridden second favourite Fiorente who he hopes to reunite with in the Melbourne Cup.
But on Saturday, Oliver's hopes are for a fifth win in the $2.5 million Caulfield Cup (2400m) in which he rides the David Hayes-trained Jet Away.
The import showed he was back on track with a game first-up seventh in the Group One Turnbull Stakes (2000m) after an interrupted preparation.
"Hopefully he can repeat his Turnbull performance and he'll be right in the race," Oliver said.
Oliver believes Jet Away's performance in the Turnbull, in which he was beaten less than two lengths, showed he had not been affected by the setback which forced him to miss a lead-up run in the Underwood Stakes.
Jet Away has firmed from $11 to $9.50 with TAB fixed odds since the barrier draw and Hayes believes the stayer is fit enough to run a big race.
"Daniel Moor rode him on Tuesday morning and said he felt better than he did the week before the Turnbull, so in other words if trackwork and the way he's feeling is any guide he's better this week than he was last week," Hayes said.
Jet Away drew barrier 13 which Hayes said was the owner's lucky number.
"You never want to draw out but that's a perfect barrier because you can just get on the back of something, not get knocked down and give him a clear run for the last half mile," he said.
"And he'll stay all day."
The Chris Waller-trained pair of Hawkspur ($4.50) and Royal Descent ($6.50) remain at the head of betting while fellow Sydney trainer Gai Waterhouse won't discount the chances of her two runners, Julienas and Glencadam Gold.
She rates Julienas as "your long-shot in the Caulfield Cup".
"He's flying," Waterhouse said of The Metropolitan runner-up.
Craig Williams is aiming for his third Caulfield Cup in succession and like last year on Dunaden he will have to plot a winning course from a wide barrier aboard Dandino.
But he believes it can be done.
"I did flinch when draw 19 came up, so it just means he is going to need a lot more luck in the early part of the race," Williams said.
"But he gives me great confidence going into the race even from the wide draw."
Ten Network is using the clout of its mega-wealthy shareholders to help fund a ratings turnaround, after posting a full year loss of $285 million.
Lachlan Murdoch, James Packer and WIN TV owner Bruce Gordon have all agreed to guarantee a new $200 million debt facility from the Commonwealth Bank, which Ten will use to pay for new programs it hopes will lift ratings.
"The board and management of Ten recognise time and financial investment are required to build ratings and revenue, which is why the new financing facility is proposed," chief executive Hamish McLennan said.
He admitted the network would not have been able to secure the finance facility on such favourable terms without the backing of the trio.
Ten's other high profile shareholder Gina Rinehart supported the loan but will not be acting as a guarantor.
Ten's $285 million loss in the 12 months to August 31 was much larger than the previous year's loss of $12.9 million, due to a 22 per cent slide in revenue and a $292 million writedown on the value of its TV licence.
"Our ratings performance this year has not been acceptable and everyone at Ten Network is focused on improving it," Mr McLennan said.
After another dismal 12 months, which have seen it stuck in fourth place behind Seven, Nine and the ABC in primetime ratings, Ten will invest heavily in new programming.
Key to its strategy will be the November 4 launch of breakfast program Wake Up and morning talk show Studio 10, both overseen by former Sunrise producer Adam Boland.
The network is focusing on "event TV", which includes programs like Masterchef and the revived So You Think You Can Dance, along with sporting events including Twenty20 cricket, the Sochi Winter Olympics and the Glasgow Commonwealth Games.
"Not that long ago Ten owned event TV with Australian Idol, Big Brother and so on...we still have event TV programs but we need more," Mr McLennan said.
Ten has also shifted its target demographic from 16-39 year olds to 25-54 year olds, in an effort to boost revenues.
"This is a lucrative and large demographic for Ten to target," Mr McLennan said.
Meanwhile, Ten's annual report shows former chief executive James Warburton, who was sacked in February, was paid $2.2 million for his final six months at the broadcaster.
Mr McLennan, who replaced Mr Warburton in April, was paid $900,000.
Ten's shares dropped half a cent, or 1.72 per cent, to 28.5 cents.
They might not have said it so openly or loudly while he was alive, but they made no bones about it at his memorial service.
"Chopper" was a "bulls*** artist".
Mark Brandon Read, once a feared criminal who served more than 23 years behind bars, a man who had his own ears cut off by a fellow inmate and who was certainly responsible for plenty more gruesome behaviour, made a lot of it up.
Reading from a script prepared by Read's family, the celebrant who conducted Thursday's service in Melbourne told of the time when Chopper was interviewed in Pentridge Prison by a young journalist.
"Some of what he told that young reporter was true, some borrowed and some of it was absolute bulls***," he said.
The tale Read told turned into a book that sold more than 300,000 copies and, as the 80-or-so mourners heard, "the book became the basis of a legend".
It was a legend from which Read made a living once he served his final prison term, a 13-year stretch in Hobart's Risdon for shooting a bloke in the stomach.
Read, who died last week aged 58, was buried at a private funeral on Monday.
According to his wishes, Thursday's public service was held to give anyone who wanted to say anything a chance to get it off their chest.
Not many seized the opportunity and those who did spoke of a misunderstood kid who probably suffered from ADHD and who could be a thorough gentleman when he wanted.
Prison social worker Bill Sutcliffe described "Chopper" Read as a "great survivor and a great entrepreneur".
Another mate, Craig, who declared himself "an old criminal like Chopper", spoke of a man with a code of honour.
"I'll give Mark one thing, he never robbed old people and he never touched kids."
Cameron Miller, whose son Shaun made a close friend of Read before dying last year of a heart disease, said he would always remember "a good man with a big heart".
Others spoke of "an utter gentleman", a talented artist and a champion of the underdog.
By his own admission, though, Read, who was never convicted of murder, was a gentleman who killed as many as seven people.
If you can believe it.
Adrift but unbowed, dyed-in-the-wool conservatives sifted through the ashes of their Republican Party's capitulation, insisting their failed fight over Obamacare was worth flirting with US economic disaster.
The Thursday morning after their legislative defeat promises a political hangover for many Tea Party-backed Republicans in the House of Representatives.
Their strategy of standing against President Barack Obama's landmark healthcare law during a fiscal crisis yielded little except a two-week government shutdown, a near default on US debt, tanking poll numbers and an internal battle that has alienated moderates and set the direction of the party itself into question.
"We lost today," Republican congressman Mick Mulvaney acknowledged as he strode through the basement of the US Capitol, where weakened Speaker John Boehner had convened his caucus to break the news that Wednesday's deal to avert default would only minimally nick "Obamacare".
But "if folks think we're done fighting about spending, debts, deficit, Obamacare, religious liberties (and) equal protection, they're wrong".
He wasn't the only undaunted Republican.
"We fought the right fight", it was "absolutely worth it", proclaimed congresswoman Michele Bachmann, who launched the House's Tea Party caucus in 2010.
Bachmann and others link their crusade against Obamacare to a demand for dramatically reduced federal spending, saying the monstrous US debt - currently at $US16.7 trillion ($A17.53 trillion) and counting - will only drag down the nation's economy.
And by giving in on the debt-ceiling fight, some argued it will be tougher for hardliners to press their case in future budget battles, including one expected to consume Washington later this year when Democrats will want to remove automatic spending cuts favoured by many Republicans.
"Because we capitulated on this one, we blinked ... I think we have less credibility going into the next" fiscal fights, said congressman Thomas Massie.
The Tea Party-backed freshman has flouted economists to insist that the US Treasury would be able to avoid default for significant time even if it could no longer borrow new money.
"Americans want somebody to stand up to the establishment here, and that's what we did," Massie said.
The movement's current flag-bearer, Senator Ted Cruz - another freshman - has become the poster child of congressional intransigence, incurring wrath for helping send the government careering into shutdown.
But he insisted on Wednesday the fight he and House conservatives have waged was a "remarkable victory" and "a profile in courage".
Some fellow Republicans warned against such characterisations.
"First of all we should block out Ted Cruz," Republican congressman Peter King told reporters when asked the path forward for the party.
King has repeatedly stressed that Republicans could be cast into the political wilderness after the shutdown and default threat debacles, which polls show are being largely blamed on conservatives.
"We're alive, that's the important thing, (but) it certainly wasn't a win," King said of the fight.
Tim Huelskamp, one of the most conservative House members, said the crisis showed it pays to confront the Washington establishment.
"We did lose the battle, but if you go outside the Beltway ... we are winning the war," if only in red states, Huelskamp offered.
"Finally someone is pushing back against an administration that has had excesses for five years.... So there's a value in actually fighting back."
Many among the group which critics have derisively called the "debt default deniers" liken the latest failed showdown to a sports match where losing players gain key experience.
"Sometimes when you lose, you win for next time," said Republican congressman Matt Salmon, who left congress in 2000 only to win another term 12 years later.
"You learn your opponent's weaknesses, you learn somewhat about your strengths, and you learn how to capitalise on all those things."
But if that means employing the same tactics in three months' time, when congress must negotiate a broad budget deal or go through another circus simply to keep government open another 90 days, moderate Republicans may well revolt.
"Where we are today just demonstrates that this was not a smart thing to do in terms of a strategy ... and it's time to move on," Senator Kelly Ayotte said, bristling when asked what lessons Tea Party conservatives could learn from the last two weeks.
"If they're saying that the defunding issue is going to come up in three months again, then they've learned nothing from this," she fumed.
But Salmon said this month's fiscal stand would be worthy of a repeat.
"I have no regrets of fighting the fight," he said.
"It's not over. This is Round 1."
Local governments and charities across Australia are set to get some of their money back from collapsed American investment bank Lehman Brothers.
PPB Advisory, the liquidator of Lehman Brothers' Australian assets, has approved a scheme to recover $US45 million and $A3 million from insurance policies held in the US and Australia.
This means that 320 creditors will receive between 44 cents and 54 cents in the dollar from their investments with Lehman Brothers, which collapsed in 2008, PPB chairman Stephen Parbery said.
Those creditors include a group of 72 councils, charities, churches and private investors who had launched a class action against Lehman Brothers prior to when liquidators were appointed to the bank.
"By settling the insurance policies, we're now in a very good position to reach a settlement in relation to class action creditors and we're also in a very good position to now put before the court a way to deal with the other 250 contingent creditors," he said.
It is PPB's priority to reach a settlement in that class action so distributions can be made to creditors in early 2014, he said.
The long-running class action was led by Wingecarribee Shire Council, in southern NSW.
Mr Parbery said attempts to settle that case have been problematic due to the risk of jeopardising an insurance recovery.
"The insurance policies might have been voided if we'd actually settled the claim with the class action parties without approval of the insurers," he said.
"These are very complex matters of working out what are the rights of people that buy products."
The most high-profile victim of Victoria's electoral boundary redistributions says she hopes to remain in parliament despite her seat being abolished.
Liberal frontbencher Mary Wooldridge will lose her seat of Doncaster while the northern Victorian seat of Rodney, held by the Nationals, will also go.
Ms Wooldridge said she hopes to remain in parliament.
"I want to continue as a member of the Napthine government after the next election and am confident that a suitable opportunity will be found," she said in a statement on Thursday.
In a major shake-up of electoral boundaries, 15 seats will be abolished or have their names changed.
The changes will even up the number of electors in each seat and are the result of a growing population in Melbourne and shrinking populations in some regional areas.
Victorian National Party leader Peter Ryan said country people are the big losers in the changes.
"This is a disappointing outcome for country Victoria in the first instance, the seat of Rodney, a National Party-held seat, has been abolished and that means one less voice in this parliament on behalf of country Victorians," he told reporters.
Rodney MP Paul Weller said the Electoral Boundaries Commission had made its decision, despite a number of submissions from his constituents.
He would not be drawn on whether he would seek to contest another seat in the November 2014 election.
"We have got to wait for the dust to settle and we will have a look at it, see what opportunities arise," Mr Weller told reporters.
The changes are expected to make it tougher for Labor to hold several seats including Ripon, Monbulk and Ballarat West.
Member for Ballarat West Sharon Knight said the redistribution would make her battle to retain the seat even tougher.
"I think it makes a marginal seat a bit more marginal," she said.
Ms Knight, whose seat will now be known as Wendouree, will lose the Labor area of Sebastopol from her electorate.
Labor state secretary Noah Carroll described the redistribution as "fair across the board".
He said all preselections would be finalised before Christmas.
Mr Carroll expects "carnage" when the Liberal and National parties field candidates against each other in country Victoria.
Liberal state director Damien Mantach said the party was analysing of the new boundaries and would have further discussions about preselections, particularly for new seats and those that have changed dramatically.
"In regards to those MPs whose seats have been abolished or dramatically redrawn, the premier, state president, state director and the administrative committee of the party will have discussions with affected MPs to determine the best course of action in relation to preselections," he said.